A predictive model for an effective maintenance of hospital critical systems

  • Marah Al-Tal,
  • Raid Al-Aomar ,
  • Jochen Abel 
  • a,b  German Jordanian University, Madaba Street, Amman, 1118, Jordan 
  • c  Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences, Full Address, Frankfurt, 11111, Germany
Cite as
Al-Tal M., Al-Aomar R., Abe J. (2021). A predictive model for an effective maintenance of hospital critical systems. Proceedings of the 33rd European Modeling & Simulation Symposium (EMSS 2021), pp. 1-8. DOI: https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2021.emss.001

Abstract

This paper presents a predictive model for the maintenance of critical systems in hospital facilities. The developed model is based on machine learning algorithms and data acquired from the Building Management System (BMS) and supported by the Computerized Maintenance Management System (CMMS). Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Prophet forecasting algorithms are used to assess the current condition of the system and to predict its future conditions. The model was applied to Air Handling Units (AHU) of the Heat Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) system of a hospital in Jordan. The AHU is considered one of the critical systems in the hospital as it is responsible for controlling the Indoor Air Quality(IAQ) of the building. The developed model achieved an acceptable accuracy in both current condition assessment and future condition prediction. The study has also highlighted the benefits of implementing the model to the hospital in terms of increasing the effectiveness of HVAC system operation and maintenance and cost reductions. The model is set to be integrated with advanced monitoring and maintenance technologies to optimize the performance of the hospital critical systems.

References

  1. Aditya Satrio, C. B., Darmawan, W., Nadia, B. U., & Hanafiah, N. (2021). Time series analysis and forecasting of coronavirus disease in Indonesia using ARIMA model and PROPHET. Procedia Computer Science, 179, 524–532. 
  2. American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers. (2020). BACnet® - a data communication protocol for building automation and control networks (ANSI/ASHRAE 135). Retrieved from https://webstore.ansi.org/Standards/ASHRAE/ANSIASHRAE1352020
  3. Au-Yong, C. P., Ali, A. S., & Ahmad, F. (2014). Improving occupants’ satisfaction with effective maintenance management of HVAC system in office buildings. Automation in Construction, 43, 31–37.
  4. Bansal, D., Evans, D. J., & Jones, B. (2004). A real-time predictive maintenance system for machine systems. International Journal of Machine Tools and Manufacture, 44(7–8), 759–766.
  5. Carvalho, T. P., Soares, F. A. A. M. N., Vita, R., Francisco, R. D. P., Basto, J. P., & Alcalá, S. G. S. (2019). A systematic literature review of machine learning methods applied to predictive maintenance. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 137, 106024.
  6. Cheng, J. C., Chen, W., Chen, K., & Wang, Q. (2020). Data-driven predictive maintenance planning framework for MEP components based on BIM and IoT using machine learning algorithms. Automation in Construction, 112, 103087.
  7. Du, Z., Fan, B., Jin, X., & Chi, J. (2014). Fault detection and diagnosis for buildings and HVAC systems using combined neural networks and subtractive clustering analysis. Building and Environment, 73, 1–11. 
  8. Duc, V. N., Steffen, L., Kaifeng, Y., Markus, O., & Thomas, B. (2019). Modeling and prediction of remaining useful lifetime for maintenance scheduling optimization of a car fleet. International Journal of Performability Engineering, 15(9), 2318.
  9. European Committee for Standardization. (2010, November). UNI EN 13306: Maintenance - maintenance terminology (BS EN 13306:2010). British Standards Institution.
  10. Hasan Shawon, M. M., Akter, S., Islam, M. K., Ahmed, S., & Rahman, M. M. (2020). Forecasting PV panel output using Prophet time series machine learning model. 2020 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), 1141–1144.
  11. Jardine, A. K., Lin, D., & Banjevic, D. (2006). A review on machinery diagnostics and prognostics implementing condition-based maintenance. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 20(7), 1483–1510.
  12. Kukkonen, V. (2018, June). Condition-based maintenance of air handling units. Aalto University. 
  13. Lavy, S., & Shohet, I. M. (2009). Integrated healthcare facilities maintenance management model: Case studies. Facilities, 27(3/4), 107–119.
  14. Li, X., Li, D., Wan, J., Vasilakos, A. V., Lai, C. F., & Wang, S. (2017). A review of industrial wireless networks in the context of Industry 4.0. Wireless Networks, 23(1), 23–41.
  15. Márquez, A. C. (2007). The maintenance management framework (1st ed.). New York, United States: Springer Publishing.
  16. Mobley, R. K. (2002). Impact of Maintenance [Kindle]. In An Introduction to Predictive Maintenance (2nd ed., pp. 1–22).
  17. Mwanza, B. G., & Mbohwa, C. (2015). An assessment of the effectiveness of equipment maintenance practices in public hospitals. Procedia Manufacturing, 4, 307–314.
  18. Sacks, R., Eastman, C., Lee, G., & Teicholz, P. (2018). BIM for owners and facility managers. In BIM Handbook: A guide to Building Information Modeling for owners, designers, engineers, contractors, and facility managers (3rd ed., pp. 130–173).
  19. Sexton, T., Brundage, M. P., Hoffman, M., & Morris, K. C. (2017). Hybrid datafication of maintenance logs from AI-assisted human tags. 2017 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 1769–1777.
  20. Susto, G. A., McLoone, S., Pagano, D., Schirru, A., Pampuri, S., & Beghi, A. (2013). Prediction of integral type failures in semiconductor manufacturing through classification methods. 2013 IEEE 18th Conference on Emerging Technologies & Factory Automation (ETFA), 1–4.
  21. Susto, G. A., Schirru, A., Pampuri, S., McLoone, S., & Beghi, A. (2015). Machine learning for predictive maintenance: A multiple classifier approach. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 11(3), 812–820.
    Taylor, S. J., & Letham, B. (2018). Forecasting at scale. The American Statistician, 72(1), 37–45.
  22. Yan, Y., Luh, P. B., & Pattipati, K. R. (2020). Fault prognosis of key components in HVAC Air-Handling systems at component and system levels. IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering, 17(4), 2145–2153. 
  23. Zhang, W., Yang, D., & Wang, H. (2019). Data-Driven methods for predictive maintenance of industrial equipment: A survey. IEEE Systems Journal, 13(3), 2213–2227.
  24. Zio, E. (2013). Prognostics and health management of industrial Equipment. Diagnostics and Prognostics of Engineering Systems: Methods and Techniques, 333–356.